Tuesday 29 May 2012

Greece needs more than an AMD

AMD is a medical term for Advance Medical Directive. As the name implies it is an advance of a medical directive in the event the individual is depended on a life support system.

I hope most of you had been informed by your financial planner that there exists an AMD in Singapore.  Currently, there is no cost to planning an AMD. The cost of not knowing/planning/executing an AMD is the financial burden or cost that your loved ones, dependants will have to fork out while keeping the life support system for you. Talk to your financial planner or your family doctor to get a fresh opinion.

The first stage, if Greece needs to execute the AMD is mid-June when the Greeks have to go to the polls. (pardon my punchline, is there a Greek government?) The result may/may not determine if Greece will stay with the Euro. Otherwise the can will be kick further down the road. As the play kicking the can successfully for the last three years, they will find that the wall is just a few metes ahead. No more room to kick.

While the focus had been Greece and Spain or Europe for the matter, the Grexit had overshadowed much event globally. Please be reminded that

·         Weak global growth is still a primary concern as witnessed by the camp of Energy speculators driving crude oil prices down

·         The relative strength/rise in the US dollar as a safe haven against most currencies signifies flow to safe haven and withdrawing/unwinding of carry trades in currencies.

·         Europe probably going into a technical recession affecting major trading partners – US, China, Japan and not forgetting global partners. Fall in exports; manufacturing, industrial production says it all.

While the strength in the US dollar on a back to back weekly rise, most currencies including Asian currencies are weakening dramatically resulting in lower GDP growth and rising inflation.

Unless global FM and leaders come to a quick and decisive plan, I wouldn’t be able to see how this ‘salted fish’ situation would ever be able to swim again. Hence, I would not be able to see how the current relief or ‘breather’ in equities market is going to last beyond this week where ‘packed’ financial data are to be released over the next couple of days...
Only the brave with a strong heart coupled with lots of lady luck could eke out a gain in this situation. That is what investment is all about - NO RISK NO GAIN. But i won't fall into this situation.

Read next--> Two bold predictions for Singapore
SUN TZU Art of War
Boom Gloom and Doom


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